'THE SHAPE OF JAPAN IN THE 21st CENTURY' SERIES, No. 27
QUINTERNARY INDUSTRIES: JAPAN'S ECONOMIC REVITALIZATION TRUNM CARD
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| 1. |
The Reasons Behind the Mismatch between
Business Human Resources Needs and Formal Education |
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Industrialization developed rapidly in Japan from the 1950's, its
vigor supporting the period of high economic growth from the 1960's
and into the 1970's. In contrast, formal education, in particular
university education, failed to keep up with the rapid development
of the industrial sphere. The courses offered by both social science
and humanities faculties are a general, basic level education and
have been taught in the same form for 20 years. Further, university
professors are assessed, not on the basis of their enthusiasm for
educating undergraduates, but by the number of articles written, leading
to ongoing decline in the faculties. Another factor is that there
is little exchange between university professors and the real business
world. Research is mainly the emulation of western academic literature,
as if its role is to see how quickly western literature can be introduced
into Japanese academic circles. It goes without saying that most of
that literature is academic theory that is not relevant to the actual
circumstances of Japanese society and economics, so that it is fair
to say that cutting-edge knowledge relevant to the west decides the
rank of Japanese academics. The globalization alignment spearheaded
by the US beginning in the 1990's (after the end of the Cold War)
has further strengthened this trend and the extreme scarcity of Japanese
Nobel Prize recipients in the social sciences, despite the fact that
our nation is the 2nd greatest economic power in the world, is evidence
of the same.
In the US, putting certain 'super universities' to one side, of roughly
4,000 universities over 80% organize their courses of study in order
to educate personnel who will take on occupations in real society.
Almost all schools similar to Japan's vocational colleges are run
by profit-making companies. Moreover, 20% of all 2-year and 4-year
colleges equivalent to Japan's junior colleges and universities are
run by commercial enterprises. (Refer Table 1.)
Universities in the US are therefore taking on the role of responding
to society's needs and this means that many companies are developing
their operations through fulfilling these consumer needs. What is
the difference between the high-level information and high-level computer
skills required by business? Both are provided by companies in the
US. In Japan, universities do not fully provide the former. Perhaps
the thinking is that universities should not deal in issues that pander
to society in general, that this is not a professorial role.
In Japan, professional training colleges set up as companies are wholeheartedly
fulfilling the role of responding to these societal needs, beginning
with our own company. It would appear that the education sector is
prejudiced against the business we have developed over 30 years, in
other words the business of educating for the attainment of specialist
practical expertise and success in qualification examinations required
by society and business. Even the current stage of progress of judicial
system reforms has demonstrated the deep-rooted nature of the prejudice
against our practical training. This is apparent in the basis of the
arguments of the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and
Technology and academics in opposition to the entry of joint-stock
companies into the education sector pursuant to the current Special
Structural Reform Zones Program. "Globally accepted commonsense
is treated as an absurdity in Japan" has long been true, even
in the education sector. |
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<Table 1>
Source:National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) (US)
Trends in Numbers of 2-Year and 4-Year Credit System Universities
(by grade and institutional management)
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| Credit System Colleges and Universities |
1994-95 |
1995-96 |
1996-97 |
1997-98 |
1998-99 |
1999-2000 |
| 3,688 |
3,706 |
4,009 |
4,064 |
4,048 |
4,084 |
| 2-Year Colleges |
1,473 |
1,462 |
1,742 |
1,755 |
1,713 |
1,721 |
| Public |
1,036 |
1,047 |
1,088 |
1,092 |
1,069 |
1,068 |
| Private |
437 |
415 |
654 |
663 |
644 |
653 |
| Non-profit |
192 |
187 |
184 |
179 |
164 |
150 |
| Profit |
245 |
228 |
470 |
484 |
480 |
503 |
| 4-Year Universities |
2,215 |
2,244 |
2,267 |
2,309 |
2,335 |
2,363 |
| Public |
605 |
608 |
614 |
615 |
612 |
614 |
| Private |
1,610 |
1,636 |
1,653 |
1,694 |
1,723 |
1,749 |
| Non-profit |
1,510 |
1,519 |
1,509 |
1,528 |
1,531 |
1,531 |
| Profit |
100 |
117 |
144 |
166 |
192 |
218 |
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Even where a tertiary college is of
less than 2 years duration it is included in the HEGIS(Higher Education
General
Information Survey) 2-Year College classification.
The data for tertiary institutions for 1996-97 onwards is for credit
system institutions granting degrees at junior
college level or above or institutions qualified to receive Inter-Varsity
Federation Tuition Grants. Source: National
Center for Education Statistics (NCES) (US).
(Author's Note:)"Profit" in the table means those schools
managed by joint-stock companies. It is clear from the
table that schools run in a profit-making format are increasing year
by year. |
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<<BACK |
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| 2. |
The Advantages of Specialist Qualification
Colleges run by Joint-Stock Companies |
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Rapid advances are being made in the practical specialist proficiencies
and knowledge required in real society. Computer skills indispensable
for business activities must be newly acquired on a daily basis.
Further, network technology is making the most startling advances
of all. To be specific, no matter how trifling this information
is asserted to be by academics, if a company does not have personnel
who have mastered it, the work of the company is stymied in its
entirety. Our recollections of a breakdown in the Mizuho Bank information
system causing significant problems some time ago are fresh. This
illustrates that the economy does not run solely on the basis of
high-level philosophies and theories. Naturally we have experienced
in practice to an unpleasant degree the vital nature of factors
such as the prospects for the economy and business ethics. However,
the phases of business activity in which philosophies and practical
technical skills function differ. Whilst both are necessary, that
which is currently lacking is US-style specialist knowledge and
skills. Whilst a number of companies, including our own, are responding
to this lack, the response is, from the perspective of society's
needs, far too insubstantial and scant. This is due to excessive
regulatory controls.
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| 3. |
The Future of the Education Industry
and its Contribution to the Japanese Economy |
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The following three issues are topical issues in today's Japanese
economy. [1] The employment safety net [2] Measures for SMEs and
micro-businesses and [3] the expansion of GDP and the taxation base
that undergirds the national finances. Service industries, beginning
with the education industry, will provide the answer to all three
of these issues simultaneously.
Turning firstly to unemployment, as the neo-classicist economists
say, the usual mismatch theory will not resolve matters. Those currently
unemployed were laid off from the industries in which they worked
as a result of restructuring or downsizing. The "new growth
industries" are the sectors now employing large numbers of
people. In other words, the fact is that the unemployed have to
find work in fields where their past careers will be of no assistance.
They have not acquired the technical skills and knowledge required
by business. The technical skills businesses seek are new because
they have only recently been invented; the business models used
in management, human resources, accounting and sales are all new.
The financing and venture back up touted by the government is insufficient
to support these fields. What is needed is the training up of personnel
to take on responsibility for the new business models. The point
of this article is to ask who is tackling this problem head on.
The business promoted by our company is a direct answer to the problem
and seeks to respond to the demand in the relevant new growth industries.
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| 4. |
Where are the Service Industries that
will Produce Japan's GDP in the 21st Century? |
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(1)Industrial Enlightenment Theory - Towards Quinternary Industries
We have long been told that is it not the "production of goods"
that will form the core of industry in the 21st century, as in the
past, but "intellectual creativity". Japan has established
the Intellectual Property Policy Outline and the Basic Law on Intellectual
Property and is continuing to tighten the system protecting the
value of intellectual assets. Nonetheless, both government and academe
lack definite conviction as to where the core industries are and
how they are fostered. My thoughts on the matter are as follows.
Firstly, my understanding of the industrial enlightenment theory
is as in Table 2. Current management theory
bundles all tertiary industries together. This is the very essence
of C.G. Clark's definition, yet there is a gap between the theory
and the real situation in today's industrial structure. I divide
these industries as below into tertiary, quaternary and quinternary
industries.
[1] Tertiary industries are services that store products created
by primary and secondary industries for periods of time or transport
the same across distance. Airline companies, distribution companies
and delivery companies fall within this category.
[2] Quaternary industries handle real data. Real data means information
related to goods handled by primary and secondary industries or
information related to tangible objects in existence in the world.
Most companies belonging to this category use computers, such as
travel companies and information searching service providers.
[3] Quinternary industries handle creative information. Creative
information is a product of the brain. That which is the province
of educational institutions, scientific hypotheses and theories,
is creative information. This is the rightful central stronghold
of intellectual property. Secondary industry patent rights are no
longer the pinnacle of intellectual property. As patent rights cannot
continue to exist separate from tangible property, they cannot be
given preeminence in our intellectual property policy as production
shifts to China and elsewhere. It is the production of absolutely
100% intellectually creative products that we should make the core
of our intellectual property policy. These products are not focused
on tangibles; both the direct and indirect sections of the business
are made up of intellectual information systems. This is the essence
of quinternary industries. All products for which the right hand
side of the brain is responsible, including the arts, music, painting
and animation belong to this category, as do Sony Computer Entertainment
(SCE) and Nintendo. Whilst creative information is divided in this
way into the scientific and artistic fields, in both cases it is
arguable that the thing that becomes the product is not something
that exists in the outside world, but creative information from
the imagination. Creative information is something the brain has
made and which has monetary value. This is the product handled by
today's typical service industry.
As my tertiary, quaternary and quinternary industry categories do
not yet exist in Japan national policy focus is indeterminate. We
must not lose sight of the fact that, no matter what, the core of
the service industry is quinternary industries. If one calls the
Microsoft operating system to mind its influence is as plain as
day. The fact that Microsoft produced world-best results precisely
symbolizes that the nucleus of modern wealth has become creative
products of the brain. What our country needs to put effort into
now is not steel, cars or electricity. Japan has, until now, desired
to have world preeminence in tangible products. However, it is no
longer the 19th or 20th century; we are now in the 21st century.
The core of our nation's wealth has changed so that it is not heavy
industry but the creative goods produced by our brains. It is quinternary
industry that will become the core of future industry. In the past,
the Ministry of International Trade and Industry cultivated industry
as a national policy, however that method will be focused on this
area in future.
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<Table
2>
The New Industrial Enlightenment Theory - From Primary to Quinternary
Industries
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<<BACK |
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(2)The Quinternary Service Industries of Today
The quinternary service industries of today are those where the
brain produces intellectually creative goods, such as education,
medical services, welfare and child care. There are more within
the administrative services carried out by local governments. Many
are in fields where the Council for Regulatory Reform has been doggedly
battling for deregulation. If these industries are released from
regulatory controls, they will, as in the US and in the UK, become
businesses able to respond to consumer needs in accordance with
the logic of capitalism.
To illustrate, if joint-stock companies are allowed to enter into
service industries such as in the fields of medical services, nursing
care and childcare, this will be a significant boost for the Japanese
economy. This fact is also discernible from the Cabinet Office's
Policy Impact Analysis Report. * According to that report, if the
productivity of every hospital was raised to equal that of private
sector best practice (mainly of incorporated medical institutions),
there would be room for a 20.4% increase in productivity in medical
services overall. In the institutionalized nursing care sector management
efficiencies including the optimization of scale would increase
cost-effectiveness by 15.5% and productivity in child care centers
would rise by 33.9%. Whilst at present the total size of the market
in these fields is roughly 4.3% of GDP, it is mooted that these
productivity increases would leave room for a 0.92% of GDP increase
in overall economic productivity.
I wonder how the education sector in which our company is engaged
would fare. Whilst there are no statistics available, from my own
practical experience I believe that the market is larger than that
for medical services, the reason being that education begins at
birth and continues as lifelong education. As society develops,
the fields with expectations of education also increase. The market
is worth 10 trillion yen even now and will no doubt exceed 20 trillion
yen in the mid term. This is greater than current sales in the car
industry.
There are other service industries, including in the field of welfare,
nursing care, security, the environment and public peace and order
that local governments are currently undertaking inefficiently as
administrative duties. These will no doubt come into the sphere
of GDP, as one after another they are opened to the private sector
in formats such as Public-Private Partnership (PPP), Private Finance
Initiatives (PFI), the private management of public facilities,
sub-contracting to private enterprise and transfers to private enterprise.
In this manner, the service industries are ever expanding, each
with intellectually created services as its essence. These industries
will, as quinternary industries, take the place of the current large-scale
industries and having acquired citizenship, lead to the revitalization
of our nation. Thinking people call it "Japan re-born".
(3)Quinternary Industries and International Earnings and Expenses
Cutting-edge medical treatments born of intellectual services are
attracting patients from all over the world. Numbers of patients
coming to Japan will make it possible to recover from depleted earnings
from travel and tourism. Further, if we have universities training
and educating in globally cutting-edge practical technology then
large numbers of foreigners will be drawn to Japan, in the same
manner as with medical treatments. Moreover, WTO negotiations on
the liberalization of occupations such as those of lawyers and patent
attorneys are underway. These are also businesses that deal in intellectually
creative products or quinternary industries. These industries will
surely compensate for the deficits in the tangible goods industries.
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| 5. |
Our Company's Societal Role |
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(1)Defining the Public Good
At present incorporated educational, social welfare, public service
and medical institutions have regulatory protection and pay no tax
or have a low rate applied. They also receive subsidies from the
state or local government. The rationale for this is that these
services are for the public good, which can also be stated as the
concept that these services are performed with the public good in
mind. There is nothing in this world provided by business to consumers
that does not have the public good in mind. Large companies are
supported by proportionately large numbers of people. This is because
large companies are truly providing for the public good. To be specific,
let's look at the magnitude of the services to our lifestyle provided
by Toyota cars. It does not follow that because Toyota is a profit-making
enterprise Toyota's products are also profitable. The products Toyota
provides to the citizenry continue to be purchased because they
are of use to consumers. The provision of the products is in itself
for the public good, the citizenry does not purchase the products
because of the receipt of the subsidy. The fact that the set-up
of the company itself is for the public good or for welfare or for
education means no more than when the company was established it
was based on rules and regulations that expressed a course of events
or history that accorded with the law on that kind of entity. From
the consumer's perspective, a public service undertaking is one
that provides a truly useful product. In the US, university education
is even managed by joint-stock companies so that, with US education
steeped in profit making, it is inconceivable that a person who
has studied at a university run by a joint-stock company would be
useless to society.
(2)All Business Formats Should Pay Taxes
In today's Japan, roughly 40% of all markets are government-controlled.
Whether set up by the national government or by local government
all businesses should pay taxes. In the context of a democratic
state, the citizens form the state in order to enjoy freedoms and
rights. If these freedoms and rights are valid for all citizens
then it goes without saying that all citizens should also bear the
corresponding costs. It is accepted that both natural and juridical
persons can enjoy human rights. This is an established principle
at constitutional law.
All those having rights in a capitalist society should bear the
burden of paying taxes. As is laid out in the Corporations Taxation
Law Articles 2 and 4, there are far too many corporations to which
no tax or a low rate of tax is applied. Law reform should be carried
out swiftly so that Japan makes the change to a comprehensive capitalist
and globalized social structure. I consider it to be appropriate
for our company, even if we implement education carried out by a
joint-stock company in a Special Zone, to not receive subsidies
and to pay taxes as other joint-stock companies do.
(3)5 Trillion Yen in Tax Revenues from Privatization of New Service
Industries
If, with the opening up to private enterprise, education sector
sales are 10 trillion yen, consumption tax on those sales will be
500 billion yen. If profits are 10% they will come to 1 trillion
yen and if the total taxation rate when corporations and other taxes
are levied is 50%, the tax on those profits will be 500 billion
yen, making total additional taxation revenues of 1 trillion yen.
A great deal of taxation revenue is also expected from a privatized
medical sector. If similar figures from other service industries
are added in, it is not unreasonable to expect taxation revenues
of 5 trillion yen.
The number of new hires that will also have an impact in this regard
is significant. Service industries are labor intensive, human resources
costs being particularly concentrated in the case of quinternary
industries. It follows that, today, when the numbers of unemployed
are growing, these industries may become the industries that create
the most jobs.
Whilst our company is a small business with sales of around 25 billion
yen, we employ around 1,100 regular personnel, 1,500 lecturers and
other staff and around 800 casual and temporarily dispatched employees,
so that we absorb a great many jobs and the majority of our expenses
are for personnel. This is a conspicuous capacity for job creation.
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| 6. |
Where are the Service Industries that
will Produce Japan's GDP in the 21st Century? |
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Our company made 8 submissions on 15 January 2003 in response to
the 2nd Call for Proposals on Special Structural Reform Zones. We
have made a decision that if there is a local government that gains
approval even as a Special University Zone our company will run
a university through a joint-stock company acceptable to the citizenry,
as a model in this field. If numerous other companies watch our
success and enter the field, the day is not far away when a vital
service industry will rise up to support our national economy, finances
and employment. This, at the very least, is the certain journey
I now see clearly before me.
*Cabinet Office, 2003, Policy Impact Analysis Report No. 16
"Economic Impact of Regulatory Reforms on Medical, Nursing
Care and Childcare Services". http://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai3/seisakukoka.html
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